Will Global Carbon Budget 2026 put fossil CO₂ growth above 1%?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the first official Global Carbon Budget 2026 projects global fossil CO₂ emissions growth for 2026 at strictly more than 1.0% compared with 2025.

Use the global fossil-fuel-and-industry CO₂ headline estimate, including cement where included in the report’s standard fossil series, and excluding land-use change. Compare 2026 with the 2025 baseline used in the same edition, not a number copied from a previous release. A central estimate of 1.0% is NO even if its unce

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 53%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 47%.