Will the ECB set its deposit facility rate at 3.25% at the March 18, 2027 meeting?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the ECB’s monetary-policy decision for its scheduled March 17–18, 2027 Governing Council meeting sets or retains the deposit facility rate at exactly 3.25% per annum. The market asks for a rate level, not for a 25-basis-point increase. A hold at 3.25% qualifies; a hike to any different level does not.

Compare the deposit facility rate specified in the formal decision, even if the new rate takes effect several days later. The main refinancing rate, marginal lendin

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 59%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 41%.