Will the 2026 Antarctic ozone hole exceed 23 million square kilometres at its single-day maximum?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the largest single-day area of the Antarctic ozone hole recorded during the 2026 season, as published by NASA Ozone Watch, is strictly greater than 23.0 million square kilometres.

The 2026 season is defined as the period from August 1, 2026 to December 31, 2026, and the relevant figure is the maximum daily ozone hole area derived from the OMPS instrument series and published in the NASA Ozone Watch daily and annual data for the Southern Hemisphere.

The ozone hol

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 60%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 40%.