Will the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the cash rate at its September 29 meeting?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the cash rate target announced as a result of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s scheduled September 29, 2026 decision is higher than the cash rate target in force immediately before that decision.

Any positive increase qualifies, regardless of size. If the rate immediately before the meeting is 4.35% and the Board raises it to 4.60%, the market resolves YES. An unchanged rate or any reduction resolves NO.

An unscheduled policy action before S

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 51%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 49%.