Will Antarctic sea ice fall below 2 million km² at its 2027 summer minimum?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the National Snow and Ice Data Center reports that the Antarctic sea-ice minimum for the 2027 austral summer is strictly below 2 million square kilometres. Use Antarctic sea-ice extent from NSIDC’s Sea Ice Index and the minimum identified in its seasonal assessment, not ice area, ice-sheet mass or a northern-hemisphere Arctic measurement. Exactly 2 million square kilometres resolves NO.

The observation window is 1 January through 31 March 2027, UTC. If NSIDC expl

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 57%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 43%.