Will at least two of Marlon James, Douglas Stuart and Elizabeth Strout make the 2026 Booker Prize shortlist?

Question

This market will resolve YES if at least two of the following three books are included in the official 2026 Booker Prize shortlist: “The Disappearers” by Marlon James, “John of John” by Douglas Stuart, and “The Things We Never Say” by Elizabeth Strout.

A minimum of two qualifying books must appear on the official shortlist.

If all three are shortlisted, the market resolves YES.

If exactly two are shortlisted, the market resolves YES.

If only one or none are shortlisted, the market resolves N

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 52%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 48%.