Will at least 100 deaths be officially confirmed from the Toledo train crash before November 5, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if Spanish authorities officially confirm that at least 100 people have died as a direct consequence of the October 28, 2026, railway collision involving a Renfe AVE and an Iryo train near Urda, Toledo.

The cumulative official death toll must reach or exceed 100 before November 5, 2026, at 00:00 CET.

Deaths occurring at the scene and subsequent deaths directly attributable to injuries sustained in the collision will count, provided they are officially confirmed before

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 52%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 48%.