Will Peru expand its El Niño state of emergency to at least 1,000 districts by November 30, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Government of Peru has officially placed at least 1,000 distinct districts under a state of emergency specifically related to the 2026 El Niño event, associated heavy rainfall, flooding, landslides, mudslides, drought, water shortages or other meteorological consequences directly attributed by Peruvian authorities to El Niño, at any point on or before November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM Peru Time.

The threshold concerns 1,000 distinct districts, not the sum of sepa

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 57%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 43%.