Will the RN-backed candidate finish first in France's April 18 presidential first round?

Question

This market resolves YES if the candidate formally endorsed by Rassemblement National receives strictly more valid votes than every other candidate in the first round of the French presidential election scheduled for April 18, 2027. This concerns first-round votes nationwide, including overseas and expatriate voting, not polling, qualification alone, the runoff or the identity of the next president.

The qualifying candidate is the single person publicly designated by RN as its presidential cand

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 73%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 27%.