Will Romania scramble fighter jets again in response to a Russian attack on Ukraine before September 1, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if, after this market opens and before September 1, 2026, Romania's Ministry of National Defence officially confirms that one or more military fighter aircraft were scrambled or launched in response to a new Russian aerial attack against Ukraine.

Romanian Air Force fighter aircraft qualify.

Fighter aircraft operated by NATO allies qualify only if Romanian authorities officially state that they were launched from or operating as part of Romania's air-policing/defence re

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 55%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 45%.