Will COP31 adopt a quantified pathway for returning below 1.5°C after an overshoot?

Question

This market resolves YES if a decision formally adopted by the UNFCCC Conference of the Parties at COP31 specifies both a calendar year or bounded period for returning global mean warming below 1.5°C after a temporary overshoot and at least one quantified global emissions-removal, emissions-reduction or net-negative milestone tied to that return. General reaffirmation of the Paris temperature goal, recognition that overshoot is possible or encouragement to increase ambition is insufficient. The

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 73%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 27%.