Will Trump’s administration renew all 178 China tariff exemptions at the November 9 expiry?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the United States Trade Representative formally extends all 178 product exclusions covered by Federal Register notice 2025-21671 beyond their scheduled November 9, 2026 expiry, without a lapse in eligibility. The qualifying action must be publicly issued by that expiry and must preserve the exclusions for entries after the existing endpoint. An extension of any positive duration qualifies; permanent continuation also qualifies.

The 178 exclusions comprise 164 pre

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 57%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 43%.