Will SpaceX successfully deploy Vast’s Haven-1 station on its first launch?

Question

This market resolves YES if Vast or SpaceX confirms that Haven-1 separated from its Falcon 9 launch vehicle into Earth orbit and established two-way communications with its ground team within seventy-two hours of its first actual launch. Both deployment and communications are required. A successful Falcon 9 booster landing alone, deployment of a different satellite or one-way detection without a confirmed command-and-response link does not qualify. Crew arrival, a later Dragon docking and long-t

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 86%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 14%.