Will Sotheby’s Roman emperor torso reach $12 million in the October 21 Magnum Opus auction?

Question

This market resolves YES if the marble torso catalogued by Sotheby’s as a Roman Imperial emperor from the Julio-Claudian period, first half of the first century AD, sells for at least USD 12,000,000 including buyer’s premium in the October 21, 2026 Magnum Opus evening auction in New York.

The official collection page identifies the work with a USD 8–12 million estimate. This market does not require attributing the torso to a particular named emperor, and no conclusion about newly discovered pro

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 52%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 48%.