Will both NASA ESCAPADE probes successfully begin their Mars transfer?

Question

This market will resolve YES if NASA confirms that both ESCAPADE spacecraft have completed the Earth-assisted departure and associated propulsion maneuvers needed to enter their intended interplanetary transfer toward Mars during the mission’s planned November 2026 departure campaign. Successful departure of only one spacecraft is insufficient. NASA must describe each spacecraft as on its intended Mars-bound transfer; merely approaching Earth or firing an engine does not establish success.

This

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 75%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 25%.