Will US inflation reach 4% in the December CPI report?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the first Bureau of Labor Statistics release for December 2026 reports a twelve-month increase of at least 4.0% in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, all items, US city average, not seasonally adjusted. Exactly 4.0% qualifies. The scheduled publication is January 13, 2027, at 08:30 Eastern Time; December identifies the measured month, not the publication month. This contract concerns the headline inflation rate affecting households, including food a

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 58%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 42%.