Who will win the 2026 California governor election?

Question

Resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election, scheduled for 3 November 2026.

If the result is not confirmed before 31 July 2027, this market resolves to "Other".

Resolution source: the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC. The market resolves once all three call the race for the same candidate; if they do not agree, it resolves on the official certification.

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Rick Caruso — the community forecast puts this at 9%.

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Katie Porter — the community forecast puts this at 9%.

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Steve Hilton — the community forecast puts this at 9%.

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Chad Bianco — the community forecast puts this at 8%.

Problyx · Answer

Alex Padilla — the community forecast puts this at 8%.

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Tony Thurmond — the community forecast puts this at 8%.

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Antonio Villaraigosa — the community forecast puts this at 8%.

Problyx · Answer

Xavier Becerra — the community forecast puts this at 8%.

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Kamala Harris — the community forecast puts this at 8%.

Problyx · Answer

Betty Yee — the community forecast puts this at 8%.

Problyx · Answer

Eleni Kounalakis — the community forecast puts this at 8%.

Problyx · Answer

Toni Atkins — the community forecast puts this at 8%.