Will the Hawk Fire reach at least 50% containment by August 29, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if… an authoritative Hawk Fire incident update establishes that the wildfire reached at least 50% containment at any time on or before 11:59:59 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time on August 29, 2026.

Containment means the percentage of the fire perimeter that incident officials report as having a completed control line reasonably expected to stop further spread. Acreage burned, forward progress stopped, evacuation orders lifted or a reduction in visible flames will not indep

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 61%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 39%.