Will OpenAI publish a new model-misalignment incident report by November 30, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if OpenAI publicly publishes at least one new, distinct model-misalignment incident report under, or explicitly consistent with, its September 16, 2026 model-misalignment reporting framework no later than November 30, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. Pacific Standard Time.

A qualifying disclosure must describe a concrete observed instance of unexpected, unauthorized, deceptive, oversight-evading or otherwise misaligned behavior by an OpenAI model or agent.

The report may concern

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 73%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 27%.