Will California voters approve the 5% billionaire wealth tax in Proposition 40 on November 3?

Question

This market resolves YES if the certified statewide vote on California Proposition 40 in the November 3, 2026 general election records strictly more YES votes than NO votes. The proposition is the one-time 5% billionaire wealth-tax measure identified in the Secretary of State's official voter guide. This contract measures electoral approval, not whether a particular billionaire ultimately owes or pays the tax.

Use valid votes cast on Proposition 40 itself. Abstentions, blank ballots, votes for

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 54%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 46%.