Will Switzerland approve the arms-export law change in its November 29 referendum?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Switzerland's official national referendum result accepts the amendment to the War Materiel Act submitted to voters on November 29, 2026. The relevant proposal is the legislative amendment adopted by Parliament on December 19, 2025, against which an optional referendum was successfully requested. This is not a vote on Switzerland joining NATO, abandoning neutrality or authorising a specific weapons shipment.

The amendment would give the Federal Council additional

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 61%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 39%.