Will Spain extend its border controls on travellers arriving from Italy beyond September 7, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if the Spanish government officially announces that the temporary border controls currently applicable to travellers arriving from Italy by air and/or sea will remain in effect at any time after September 7, 2026.

An extension affecting only air arrivals or only maritime arrivals is sufficient.

Routine immigration controls unrelated to the temporary Italy-specific measure do not qualify. Likewise, a completely separate border-control measure introduced after the curren

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 56%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 44%.