Will the RBA raise rates by exactly 25 bps at its November 2026 meeting?

Question

This market resolves YES if the Reserve Bank of Australia increases its cash rate target by exactly 25 basis points at its November 2–3, 2026 Monetary Policy Board meeting, relative to the cash rate target in effect immediately before that decision.

For example, if the rate immediately before the meeting is 4.35%, a decision setting it at 4.60% qualifies.

An increase of any other magnitude, no change, or a rate cut resolves NO.

The resolution is based on the change announced at the November m

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 76%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 24%.