Will BASF match €2.4 billion in quarterly adjusted EBITDA on October 28?

Question

This market will resolve YES if BASF publishes results showing that BASF Group EBITDA before special items for Q3 2026 is at least €2,400 million. The relevant reporting event is the 2026-10-28 financial release. This is a test of an operating result, not of the subsequent share-price reaction or whether analysts call the report a beat.

Compare the standalone Q3 Group EBITDA before special items, not EBIT, EBITDA after special items, net income, a segment result or the nine-month sum. The adjus

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 57%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 43%.