Will at least 1,000 people irregularly enter Ceuta from Morocco on August 15, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if official Spanish authorities report that at least 1,000 people successfully entered Ceuta irregularly from Morocco during August 15, 2026.

For purposes of this market, a person counts if they physically cross from Moroccan territory or waters into Spanish-controlled territory or waters in Ceuta through an unauthorised route or outside the normal legal border-entry procedure.

Crossings by land, swimming, small boats or other irregular means qualify.

Attempted crossi

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 69%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 31%.