Will Republicans overturn the Arizona citizenship-proof ruling at the Supreme Court?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Supreme Court reverses or vacates at least one of the two challenged merits holdings of the Ninth Circuit in Republican National Committee v. Mi Familia Vota, No. 25-1017. The accepted questions concern Arizona's evidence-of-citizenship requirement for applicants using the state registration form and its removal of noncitizens from registration rolls within 90 days of a federal election. A qualifying reversal on either question is sufficient; a win only on cos

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 69%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 31%.