Will New Zealand’s National Party win the largest party-vote share in the 2026 general election?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the condition below is satisfied according to the designated source.

YES

The official final nationwide party-vote result gives the National Party a strictly larger share than every other party.

NO

Another party has the largest share, or National only ties for first.

Special cases

Official corrections published before Problyx resolution control. If the event is cancelled and not completed within 30 days, cancel the market.

Primary resolution source

https://

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 53%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 47%.