Will Trump attend the November ASEAN summit meetings in Manila in person?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump physically attends at least one official leaders-level meeting in the Philippines held as part of the 49 th ASEAN Summit and Related Summits in November 2026.

A qualifying ASEAN–United States Summit or East Asia Summit within that programme counts; attendance need not include the ASEAN members-only meeting. A video address, telephone call, visit by a substitute official or private stopover in Manila does not count. A bilateral meeting counts only if

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 58%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 42%.