Will the Fed leave its policy-rate ceiling unchanged at the March 17 meeting?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Federal Open Market Committee leaves the upper bound of its target federal funds rate range unchanged in the policy decision resulting from its March 16–17, 2027 meeting. Compare the upper bound announced in that meeting's statement with the upper bound in force immediately before that decision. This is a question about a pause at the March meeting, not about whether rates remain unchanged from September 2026 until March. Intervening decisions may change the c

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 70%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 30%.