Will March 2027 be the hottest March in Copernicus records?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Copernicus Climate Change Service identifies March 2027 as the warmest March globally in its ERA5 record in the first official monthly surface-air-temperature assessment for that month. A joint first place qualifies only if Copernicus explicitly describes March 2027 as tied for the warmest March. The question concerns the whole world's monthly average surface air temperature, not Europe alone, the hottest individual day, or the number of local temperature reco

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 38%.