Will Brazil's August 2026 inflation rate be above 4.20%?

Question

This market resolves YES if Brazil's official Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) inflation rate for August 2026, measured as the percentage change over the preceding 12 months, is reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE) as greater than 4.20% in its initial official release.

A reported value of exactly 4.20% does not qualify and resolves NO.

This market refers exclusively to the 12-month year-over-year IPCA rate for August 2026, not the month-over-month

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 59%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 41%.