Will Xiaomi finish November with China’s top-ranked AI model on Arena?

Question

This market will resolve YES if a model owned by Xiaomi is the highest-ranked eligible Chinese model on Arena's Text Arena Overall leaderboard, with style control switched off, at 23:59 UTC on November 30, 2026. The observation is a contractual end-of-month snapshot, not a claim that Arena schedules a release at that time. Trading closes five minutes earlier.

Use the Models view of the Overall text leaderboard with Adjustments set to None. Compare models attributed to companies headquartered in

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 67%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 33%.