Will the Atlantic hurricane season finish below normal despite this year’s storms?

Question

This market will resolve YES if NOAA classifies the completed 2026 Atlantic hurricane season as below normal under its official seasonal-activity classification. Use NOAA’s accumulated cyclone energy methodology and published classification, not an impression based on damage, deaths, media attention or the number of storms affecting one country. A destructive landfall is compatible with a below-normal basin-wide season.

The official Atlantic season runs from 1 June through 30 November. If NOAA’

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 83%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 17%.