Will gold reach $4,600 per ounce by August 31, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the XAU/USD spot gold price reaches or exceeds $4,600.00 per troy ounce at any time between market creation and 23:59:59 CEST on August 31, 2026.

For resolution, the market requires a qualifying spot-gold price of $4,600.00 or higher. The threshold does not need to be maintained for any particular duration.

The controlling reference should be a reputable institutional XAU/USD spot-price source used consistently by Problyx. CME gold futures prices, retail dealer

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 64%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 36%.