Will the Three Mile Island reactor backing Microsoft reach full power within 30 days of restarting?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the restarted Crane Clean Energy Center reactor, formerly Three Mile Island Unit 1, reaches a reported power level of at least 100 percent in the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s daily reactor-status reports during the first thirty calendar days of its restart. This is the reactor covered by Constellation’s power agreement with Microsoft, not the damaged Three Mile Island Unit 2.

For this contract, day one is the first date after the long shutdown on which the

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 53%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 47%.