Will PP win a majority of Spain’s directly elected Senate seats on November 29?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Partido Popular candidates win at least 105 of the 208 Senate seats directly elected in Spain’s general election scheduled for November 29, 2026. This is a majority of the seats put to a public vote at that election. It is deliberately not a majority of the entire Senate, which also contains senators designated by autonomous-community legislatures.

Use the elected candidates and their registered electoral affiliation, not the parliamentary group they choose after

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 74%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 26%.