Will US core PCE inflation reach 3.2% in the November 25 release?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports a year-on-year increase of at least 3.2% in the U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy for October 2026, in the Personal Income and Outlays release scheduled for November 25, 2026. Exactly 3.2% qualifies. Use the published annual percentage change for the core PCE price index, not the headline PCE index or the Consumer Price Index.

The observation compares October 2026 with October 2025

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 52%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 48%.