Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the March 14 Oscars?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences officially awards Julianne Moore the Oscar for Actress in a Leading Role at the 99th Academy Awards, scheduled for March 14, 2027. The actor is the subject of this contract, not a particular film. If she wins the named category for any eligible performance in that edition, the result is YES. Supporting Actress, an honorary Oscar, another organisation's award or presenting a trophy does not count.

A nomination is not

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 65%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 35%.