Will Labour retain Holborn and St Pancras in the October 8 by-election?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the candidate officially nominated under the Labour Party description wins the October 8, 2026 parliamentary by-election for Holborn and St Pancras. Use the returning officer’s declared winner for this constituency. An independent who previously belonged to Labour, a Labour endorsement of another party or a national polling lead does not count.

A plurality is sufficient; an absolute majority is not required. Count the final declared result after any recount condu

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 59%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 41%.