Will the Nasdaq-100 fall at least 3% on the September 16 Fed decision day?

Question

This market resolves YES if the official Nasdaq-100 price index closing level for September 16, 2026 is at least 3.00% below its official closing level for September 15, 2026. Calculate the change as 100 × (NDX close on September 16 / NDX close on September 15 − 1). A result less than or equal to −3.00% resolves YES; any larger result resolves NO.

The instrument is the USD price index with ticker NDX, published by Nasdaq Global Indexes. Do not substitute the Nasdaq Composite, the Nasdaq-100 tot

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 76%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 24%.