Will the Bank of Canada hold its policy rate at the January 27 decision?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Bank of Canada leaves its target for the overnight rate unchanged in the scheduled January 27, 2027 interest-rate announcement. The adopted target must equal the target applicable immediately before this decision. The comparison does not freeze the September 2026 rate as the benchmark: intervening decisions may change the baseline.

Only the target for the overnight rate controls. The Bank Rate, deposit rate, operating-band width, settlement balances, quantita

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 38%.