Will Hollywood’s IATSE film and TV crews be on a nationwide Basic Agreement strike on August 2, 2027?

Question

This market will resolve YES if, at 12:00 noon America/Los_Angeles time on Monday, August 2, 2027, an official IATSE strike against AMPTP signatory producers under the successor negotiations to the 2024–2027 Hollywood Basic Agreement is in effect and requires covered film or television crew members to withhold their labor. The current agreement expressly terminates July 31, 2027; August 2 is the following Monday. No strike has been asserted to be announced by this contract.

The relevant action

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 76%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 24%.