Will the November 10–11 Abu Dhabi talks produce a general Russia–Ukraine ceasefire agreement?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Russia and Ukraine both officially accept, as the negotiated outcome of the US-mediated round scheduled for November 10–11,2026 in Abu Dhabi, a mutual cessation of offensive military operations across the entire Russia–Ukraine front and aerial attacks against each other's territory for at least thirty consecutive days. The agreement may allow self-defence and monitoring arrangements; it must specify an effective starting date no later than fourteen days after that

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 82%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 18%.