Will NASA launch at least four Fort Sumner scientific-balloon payloads by October 30?

Question

This market will resolve YES if NASA’s Scientific Balloon Program officially records successful launches of at least four distinct payload missions from the Fort Sumner, New Mexico 2026 campaign by October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM Mountain Daylight Time.

The six currently scheduled payloads are BOOP!, CORSAIR, HASP, Mullenax Test Flight, Salter Test Flight and CLIC 2.

Each distinct payload counts at most once.

A launch qualifies once the scientific balloon and its payload have been released from

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 63%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 37%.