Will Xi Jinping and Claudia Sheinbaum hold a bilateral meeting at the Shenzhen APEC summit?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Xi Jinping and Claudia Sheinbaum personally take part in a substantive, in-person bilateral meeting in the Shenzhen area during November 17–20, 2026, and at least one of the Chinese or Mexican governments officially identifies that meeting as connected with the APEC leaders’ summit. The summit itself is scheduled for November 18–19; the surrounding dates accommodate customary meetings immediately before and after its plenary sessions.

The two leaders must meet as

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 74%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 26%.