Will India’s 2026 southwest monsoon be officially classified as “deficient”?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the India Meteorological Department officially classifies all-India rainfall during the 2026 southwest monsoon season as “deficient,” meaning that total nationwide rainfall for the official June 1 through September 30, 2026 season is less than 90.00% of the applicable Long Period Average.

The relevant measurement is the all-India southwest monsoon seasonal rainfall total published by the India Meteorological Department for the June–September 2026 season.

Regiona

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 74%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 26%.