Will any elected U.S. legislator be blocked from taking the oath when the 120th Congress opens?

Question

This market will resolve YES if an elected member of either the United States House or Senate is denied the oath on the first day that chamber administers oaths to its members-elect in the 120th Congress. The person must hold valid state certification for a term beginning January 3, 2027 and be willing and present to take the oath. A deliberate institutional refusal or unresolved credentials challenge that prevents that person taking the oath throughout the relevant day qualifies.

The determina

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 85%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 15%.