Will the Great Barrier Reef suffer a mass bleaching event in the 2026–27 summer?

Question

This market resolves YES if the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority officially classifies bleaching during the December 2026–March 2027 summer assessment period as a mass coral bleaching event affecting the Great Barrier Reef. The authority must apply the mass-event classification to the Great Barrier Reef itself, not merely describe a worldwide bleaching event elsewhere.

Use the authority's summer Reef Snapshot, reef-health updates or a joint official assessment with its scientific partne

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 61%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 39%.