Will China and Nepal announce a real-time glacier or flood early-warning data-sharing agreement by November 30, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the governments of China and Nepal, or competent governmental agencies acting on their behalf, formally announce on or before November 30, 2026 a bilateral arrangement providing recurring near-real-time or real-time sharing of data intended to improve early warning for glacier-related hazards or cross-border flooding.

Qualifying data may include glacier movement, glacial-lake levels, glacial-lake outburst flood indicators, river levels, precipitation, avalanche r

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 38%.