Will the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield be above 4.10% on September 30, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if the U.S. Treasury's official 2-Year Treasury Daily Par Yield Curve Rate for September 30, 2026 is strictly greater than 4.10%.

A reported rate of exactly 4.10% resolves NO.

Intraday Treasury yields, futures prices, Bloomberg/Reuters estimates or secondary-market quotes do not determine resolution.

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 51%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 49%.